North Carolina vs. Louisville odds, line: 2019 ACC Tournament picks, top predictions from model on 11-5 run

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Third-ranked North Carolina looks to stay red hot when it takes on Louisville in a 2019 ACC Tournament quarterfinal. The Tar Heels (26-5) are seeded second and have gone 14-1 since Jan. 15, while the seventh-seeded Cardinals (20-12) are 4-6 in their last 10 games. Thursday’s tip-off from Time Warner Arena at Spectrum Center in Charlotte is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The teams have split a pair of regular-season games, but North Carolina has won three of the last four and seven of 10. The Tar Heels lead the all-time series 14-6. North Carolina is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Louisville vs. North Carolina odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 150. You’ll want to see what the SportsLine Projection Model is saying about the game before laying any Louisville vs. North Carolina picks down of your own. 

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $4,000 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered conference championship week on a strong 11-5 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

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Now the model has dialed in on North Carolina vs. Louisville. We can tell you it is leaning under, and it has a strong against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. That one is only available at SportsLine.

The model knows North Carolina finished 16-2 in conference and tied for first with Virginia. It is the Tar Heels’ 15th 20-plus win season in a row and 17th straight with a winning record. North Carolina is first in the nation in rebounds (43.5 rpg), third in points (86.6 ppg), and 10th in scoring differential (plus-13.6). The Tar Heels have won 18 ACC Tournament championships, the last coming in 2016.

Cameron Johnson (16.8 points per game) is North Carolina’s leading scorer, putting up a season-high 27 points at Wake Forest on Feb. 16. The hottest player on the Tar Heels, however, is Coby White (16.3 ppg), who scored 21 against Duke on Saturday. He also had 34 against Syracuse. Luke Maye (14.6 ppg) came up big the last time North Carolina played Louisville, scoring 20 points.

But just because the Tar Heels have been on a roll does not guarantee they will win or cover the North Carolina vs. Louisville spread in the 2019 ACC Tournament quarterfinals. 

That’s because Louisville is battle tested. The Cardinals are just one of six teams in the country to have played at least 11 games against schools in the Associated Press Top 25. They have wins over four conference champions, including Lipscomb (Atlantic Sun), Michigan State (Big Ten), UNC and Vermont (America East).

The Cardinals have qualified for the NCAA Tournament 38 times, played in eight Final Fours and have won two national championships. They’ve had four other appearances and one national title vacated by the NCAA. Louisville, which is looking to qualify for the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2017, is led by sophomore forward Jordan Nwora (17.3 ppg), who had 24 points against Notre Dame on Wednesday.

So who wins Louisville vs. North Carolina? And which side of the spread can you bank on in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Louisville vs. North Carolina spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $4,000 on its college basketball picks, and find out.

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